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10 predictions at Global Investment
These are the predictions made Robert Doll, vice president and head of equity strategy at BlackRock. Among others, predicts that the U.S. stock market provide a yield of 8% per annum over the next ten years. BlackRock is a major money management firm in the world. In the second quarter of this year doubled its profits thanks to the effect of the purchase in December of Barclays Global Investors for $ s13.500 million.
The 10 predictions are:
1. U.S. Equities register returns a number, but high, after the worst decade from the 30. Points to an annual return in price by 6.2% and 1.9% bonus dividend, adding 8.1 percent.
2. The frequency of recessions in the next decade will be closer to the average long-March (one every 3.8 years) than that in the past 20 years (one every 8 years).
3. The sectors of health, information technology and alternative energy will lead growth in the U.S. The aging population will enable health expenditure is high.
4. The dollar will lose its dominance gradually while increasing U.S. debt, which will push down.
However, Doll expects the dollar remains the principal reserve currency, since it is one of the most liquid and the yen and the euro have their own problems.
5. Interest rates will move upward irregularly in the developed world. In the coming years is expected a gradual transition from a situation deflationary to inflationary pressures and interest rates tend to rise.